Talk by Eric Nalisnick

Hi everyone, you are all cordially invited to the AMLab Seminar on Thursday 8th October at 16:00 CEST on Zoom, where‪ Eric Nalisnick will give a talk titled ” Specifying Priors on Predictive Complexity “.

Title: Specifying Priors on Predictive Complexity

Abstract: Specifying a Bayesian prior is notoriously difficult for complex models such as neural networks. Reasoning about parameters is made challenging by the high-dimensionality and over-parameterization of the space. Priors that seem benign and uninformative can have unintuitive and detrimental effects on a model’s predictions. For this reason, we propose predictive complexity priors: a functional prior that is defined by comparing the model’s predictions to those of a reference function. Although originally defined on the model outputs, we transfer the prior to the model parameters via a change of variables. The traditional Bayesian workflow can then proceed as usual. We apply our predictive complexity prior to modern machine learning tasks such as reasoning over neural network depth and sharing of statistical strength for few-shot learning.

Link to paper : https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.10801 To gain more deep insights into priors in Bayesian models, feel free to join and discuss it!